Capital Flows and Current Market Resistance

Capital Flows and Current Market Resistance

Capital Flows

We project that over the next month a continued sideways consolidation (yellow) should hold true and peak, before finding a new trend.

Captial flows to the US markets are bullish, and away fromt he US markets are predict a temporary bearish picture.

S&P500 Consolidation

As you can see, the markets are consolidating as they move sideways.

Any move near or at the top is a sign to traders to take profits and place shorts.  A move nearing the green line is a time to consider placing long positions as for when the markets rise again to test the top of the trading range.

Breakout

Without a doubt the markets are preparing to breakout.

The current poitical battle in the US forces the markets to question the direction in the short term and but the commercials are currently hedging the long side with more shorts in the futures market. 

Internationally, the Brexit battle and the Hong Kong/China battle are both looming large on the markets upward growth. We must remain patient because the markets never lie. The market prices in politics, the economy, fear, greed, and every emotional decision made by a billion investors worldwide.

I will update you as we get closer and break through to the top or bottom of this trading range!

A Wealth Preserver Is Required for a 2008 Sized Crash and It’s Tiny Compared To What Is Coming

A Wealth Preserver Is Required for a 2008 Sized Crash and It’s Tiny Compared To What Is Coming

 

 Sep 3, 2018 at 3:00 PM

Hong Kong Triple Play Trend Trader

Hong Kong Triple Play Trend Trader

To our Hong Kong friends; 我希望你一切都好,

This update is based on the Hang Seng Index (HSI). The Hang Seng Index or HSI is a market cap weighted index of the largest companies that trade on the Hong Kong Exchange. A subsidiary of the Hang Seng Bank maintains the Hang Seng Index and has done so since 1969. The index aims to capture the leadership of the Hong Kong exchange and covers approximately 65% of its total market capitalization.

Similar to the S&P500 Index in the USA, the HSI index can help gage and guide investors in efficient market growth. So, in basic language “as goes this index so goes your Hong Kong-based portfolio.”

The charts below can help you take a three-step top-down review of how the HSI is performing and whether you should Invest more money or protect against a pending crash.

Monthly Chart:

The monthly level of a market is where the long-term trend is defined. Let’s start by looking at a Monthly chart first fo find the markets actual Long term direction.

As you can see in the chart below, from the 2016 green arrow entry point, we had a tremendous gain that closed out in May and confirmed what we reported was developing in 2018.  The historical major high took place back in 2007 and we have then witnessed a bearish subsequent trend for 10 years. The correction since that high has been approximately 33% decline with the next general key area to watch would be 18216 and a closing below this area can technically signal a more serious correction.

 

Weekly Chart:

The last high on the weekly level was created during the week of May 14th. The previous weekly level low was 21488 which formed during the week of December 26th. In fact, in support of the larger Monthly trend, we still remain below key support on the weekly chart below and recently had a confirming weekly Red signal.

 

Daily Chart:

Daily level of this market is currently in a full bearish mode.

 

Hong Kong Market Conclusion:

Based on reviewing the Monthly, Weekly, and Daily charts, the Hong Kong market is significantly bearish and we would avoid taking any immediate or intermediate longs  As you can see, even though our daily charts showed some bullish green lights in July, wise investors likely avoided taking the positions, because both the weekly and monthly charts warned the larger trend was strongly down.

Hong Kong is a perfect example of why you should trend trade and take positions with the trend. More importantly, only do so when all three Monthly, Weekly, and Daily are supporting the same trend.

Fighting the monthly and weekly “current” trend does not usually prove fruitful.

Prosperously,

Good Luck,

German Market Update

German Market Update

To our German friends, Wie geht’s?

The German Update below represents the DAX. Similar to the S&P500 Index in the USA, the DAX index can help gage and guide long-term investors to efficient market growth. Our charts can help you take a three-step top-down review of how the DAX is performing and whether you should protect your portfolio against a pending crash. In addition, the charts can substantially help short-term trades increase their winning trades.

 

Monthly Chart:

The monthly level of a market is where the long-term trend is defined. Let’s start by looking at a Monthly chart first fo find the markets actual Long term direction.

As you can see below, the Monthly chart went bullish in April 2016 (Green Light) and remains Bullish. Nonetheless, some caution is necessary since the last high 13596 was important given we did obtain one inter-month red light signal during January. Support still underlies the DAX at 12050 and a break of that level on a monthly closing basis would warn of a further decline ahead becomes possible. Currently, this market is choppy on a monthly basis but remains bullish.

Weekly Chart:

On the weekly level, the last important high was established the week of May 21st at 13204, which was up 8 weeks from the low made back during the week of March 26th. We have been generally trading up for the past 4 weeks from the low of the week of June 25th. So, as you can clearly see, our German Weekly chart is also performing very and supports the larger bullish Monthly direction.

Daily Chart:

The daily level momentum and trend indicators within our chart remail bullish since July with a confirmed green buy signal.

German DAX Conclusion:

Based on reviewing the Monthly, Weekly, and Daily charts, the German market is broadly bullish.

Alles Gute,

*** Do not trade solely based on this post as it may not represent current
market conditions. Markets can change abruptly.  

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